The Gambling Caoch Blog

All of my teasers from last week won. That makes it 4 weeks in a row with these large point teasers. By the way, I have now essentially doubled my initial investments in these various sports books, since the beginning of the year (and I do NOT use these LPT for pre-season). I have been fairly conservative this year, some years have been even better.

On to this week. Here is what I have:

Minnesota +11
Dallas +13
New York Giants +6 1/2
Baltimore +12 1/2
San Francisco +18 1/2
New England +18
Indianapolis +17 1/2

This week does not offer a slate of NFL games that figures to be too interesting, or even overly competitive. But, once again, I am not betting in order to see a competitive game, or to be entertained! I bet only to win money. There were several other games this week that I thought VERY hard about doing…

Carolina +17 1/2 (anyone against the Redskins should be a good bet this year…I see Carolina possibly winning this one straight up); I could also very easily see most of the games I took as being winners both ways. I almost took Phily +6, but in the end decided not to get too greedy. Those big favorites should be able to simply pull out a win, but I have a feeling that there might be a surprise somewhere this week.

Talk to you again next week! Long live the Large Point Teaser!!

This is the first of what will be weekly posts from now until the end of the season.

Here are the games, along with the actual lines that I have gotten this week. For those of you who do not believe this, refer to my previous post. These are “Large-Point Teaser.” I have done all 8 of these games, and yes, to win the bet I must win all 8 games. However, with being able to move the line 21 points, I feel pretty safe!

Here they are:

Iowa -1/2 (the one college game I like!)
New England +19
NY Giants +12 1/2
Chicago +11
Indianapolis +11
San Francisco +11 1/2
San Diego +27
Green Bay +24 1/2

There you are, 8 games with HUGE points for a 40% return. Beats putting your money in a wimpy cd, doean’t it? Yeah, I think so.

I welcome comments. However, please understand that I bet for one reason only: to win money. I am not a fan, and I am a very disciplined sports wagerer. You may find it hard to believe, but this is the only bet I am making all weekend. Seriously. With these LPT I have the advantage…and I intend to keep that advantage and not do anything stupid by making inferior spread bets. I may decide to bet some further LPT, but they will all be variations of the above teams. In other words, I may do a 7-team teaser, and maybe a 6-team teaser and possibly even a 5-team teaser.

Until next week!

Well…the NFL season is well upon us, and I have been having tremendous success so far this year. Of course, I do not bet the NFL like most other players. In fact, my methods will most likely shock the vast majority of you reading this. Of course, I do some “traditional” point spread bets. However, my bread and butter (as far as the NFL goes anyway) is using what I like to call Large-Point Teasers (LPT).

For the last 3 or 4 years I have found several books who offer these LPT. I don’t know about you, but being able to move the line 14, 16 even up to 21 points on each game I play has been a real blessing. Of course, the odds are not nearly as good. For example, one book I use will make you lay 3-1 odds for 7 team, 21-point teaser. So, the trade-off is that you need to lay fairly heavy wood in order to gain the extra security that comes from those extra points.

It would not really be fair to give a lists of the games I have had for the first 3 weeks of the season, since they are over and done. However, I think that I am going to chronicle the rest of this season here on the blog, for everyone to see. I want to show everyone how it is possible to beat the books using a very systematic and disciplined approach. So, starting next weekend, I will be posting the actual LPT that I am personally playing.

Let me just say a few more words about these LPT. You want to try and stay away from the college games with this as much as possible. They work much better in a situation where their is a fair degree of parity and the games are usually fairly close. Too many blow-out or rout victories in college.

I am also toying with the idea of maybe offering some kind of management service for next season. Where I will partner with a select few (and I do mean very few) of my readers, friends and fans. I will run a sportsbook account using only these LPT. At the end of the season (I usually stop doing these the second or third to last week), we will pull the money out and split the profits. If you are potentially interested in this (or even a similar) type of arrangement, please either contact me or leave some feedback below.

Talk to you next week!

Hello again.

Joseph Carducci here from http://www.thegamblingcoach.com

So, how do you choose an online sportsbook or casino? These businesses (and make no mistake about it, they ARE businesses) continue to spring up at an astounding rate. And not all of them are trustworthy, to be sure. There is nothinhg worse, to be sure, than beating the brains out of a book or casino and then not get paid. Or not even get your original stake back.

Even the legitimate companies, those which are properly licensed and run, may be overcharging you on their fees and commissions. Or perhaps giving less service than most of the other books or casinos.

One of the first places people go when they want to find a “good” sportsbook or casino is to the internet forums or message boards. Please do not believe most of what you read here. There are several reasons for this. First, many of these forums are supported by advertising. This advertising is paid for by the sportsbooks themselves. Then, in return, they are allowed free reign to post. If you engage in any discussions you may in fact be communicating with the owner or manager of some of these very places you are trying to investigate! Also, the forum owner may have an affiliate arrangement with these sportsbooks. This means that anyone who joins that particular book as a result of the forum will lead to a commission for the forum owner. Now, there is nothing wrong with this in and of itself, and actually a commission being paid for a sign-up is ok. However, many of these deals will only pay a commission based on how much the player LOSES! In this case it is in the best interest of the forum owner for you to lose! Nice guy, right!? In this case, the forum owner will probably do everything he can to help you actually lose! He may even post on the forum himself, under a wide variety of id’s. There is no way to actually know.

Actually, the only way to avoid such a situation is to avoid those forums which are supported by advertising. If there are ANY ads on the forum for sportsbooks or online casinos, it is probably corrupted, and you should not trust it.

Try to find an online book that is legally licensed in it’s own country. The best are those issued by respected governments, such as England, Australia, or any European country. Many of the newer books are located in the Caribbean. Some of these nations have good regulations and oversight and some do not. At the moment, I would be a bit wary of Costa Rica. Antiqua seems to be pretty good.

Also, check out the company a bit. Are they publicly owned? Is a toll-free phone number prominently displayed on the site? Call them. Is the phone answered promptly? Do they have an English-speaking staff? Ask a few questions and see how knowledgable and helpful they are. This will give you an idea as to the level of customer service they provide. Believe me, if they are difficult to reach and/or to deal with now, imagine what the situation will be like after you are owed thousands of dollars and trying to get help with taking your money out!

Also, look at the deposit and withdrawal options. It will be difficult to fund your account these days with a credit card, that is just the legal environment we are living with right now. However, there should be some other options. Do they offer a third-party funding option? If so, is this a company that you are even able
to use, given where you live and other considerations? They should, at the very minimum, offer Western Union and MoneyGram as options to BOTH fund and withdraw your money. If not, look elsewhere. Personally, I like funding my account with MoneyGram whenever I am able. It is also pretty convenient for a withdrawal.

You should always read the fine print when investigating. Maybe some of the deposit methods will REQUIRE certain methods for withdrawal. Sometimes, certain bonus offers are only available with certain deposit methods. Just make sure that you thoroughly understand all your options, rules, responsibilities and limitations.

There are other additional factors to consider. Once you know which sport(s) you will be focusing on, look at how each place does that particular sport(s). Some may only offer baseball using a 20 cent line. Personally, I feel there is no reason to bet into a 20 cent line. Especially when there are many books that use a Vegas-like 10 cent line. Compare the lines between several books for the sports which are currently in-season. Do this over the course of a week or so (at least for several days) and you should get a general sense of who offers the best value for your money. You always want to get VALUE in this game.

Having said all that, I urge you to grab a copy of my FREE Report on “How To Choose An Online SportsBook And Casino.” I will also share some of the books that I like and am personally using (or have used in the past). Just fill out the form on the sidebar to grad your copy NOW!
Talk to you soon.

Hello again!

The other day I was out and about and ran into an old friend. We spent a few minutes catching up and then the questions turned what we were doing for work these days. He was fascinated when I told him I was a professional gambler. Of course, he knew I liked to bet on sporting events, and that I was a decent poker player. However, like most people, this guy figured that there was no way anyone could beat the house on a regular basis over any extended period of time.

The point of this conversation is that most people think what us pros do is either impossible or some kind of magic. The truth is that we focus only on those games which are beatable. Then, we develop expertise in those particular areas. Of course this will take time to do, especially if you are just starting out. I have read darn near EVERY book in the areas that I focus on. I also must say that on some of these topics there really is not much info out there. Experience is also a great teacher!

My bread and butter is sports wagering. I LOVE sports. Now, please understand, I do not mean to say that I love sports as a fan. Certainly I can appreciate the level of skill, ability and athleticism inherent in the major college and professional sports today. However, this is my work. When I want to go somewhere and relax, or when I take a day off (or a vacation), I do NOT lie around and watch a ballgame. This is the same reason why many professional athletes do not watch any of their contests during their “off” time (unless they are doing heavy preparation for another big game). It is simply work to them. Did you know that most pro athletes cannot even stand to watch themselves play? It’s true.

Betting on sports is a very skilled profession. Probably only about 5% of everyone who has ever placed such a wager can claim to come out on top. But this is mainly because most people simply figure it’s luck of the draw anyway and do not approach it in a professional or businesslike manner.

This all leads to the question of which is the best sport to focus on. Said another way, what is the easiest sport to beat. I think that football is probably the single most difficult sport to bet professionally, so let’s put that aside for the moment. I think that baseball and basketball should be examined more closely. The beautiful thing about both of these sports is that the seasons are rather long. In basketball the NBA teams play 82 games, plus a rather drawn out playoff schedule. And baseball is even longer, with a 162 game schedule, plus three rounds of playoffs. This means that there will be a lot of wagering opportunities. You will have many more plays from either of these sports than you would with football (only a 16-game schedule). In fact, you should probably have about 10 times the amount of action with basketball, and around 15-20 times the action with baseball.

So, which is easier, basketball or baseball? Personally, I have had more success with baseball. I really love betting into an odds line versus a pointspread. For me, it just comes more naturally. Also, since I bet mainly underdogs, many years even a 50% win rate will put me solidly into the black. That is something that cannot be said for basketball (or football for that matter). Now, I realize that many of my readers will come from a background where a pointspread line feels more natural. That’s ok. In this case, I would recommend that you focus more on basketball, at least when starting out. If you do not think that betting into a odds line will be something that you would feel comfortable with, then start with basketball. On the other hand, if you are used to betting European sports or think that it would not be a problem for you, start with baseball.

Then again, there is no reason that you cannot do both. If you are thinking about this, I will give you fair warning. You will most likely enjoy one much more than the other. You will most likely be more successful at one than the other. Another surprising thing is that your more successful sport my be the opposite of the one you thought it would be. Personally, I started out betting only football. Then, I moved onto basketball and baseball (started basketball one year ahead of baseball). The funny thing was I personally enjoyed basketball, but soon found out I was much more successful at baseball. Funny how things work.

So, pick your sport(s) and get cracking.